Tag: Anthony Brown

State Roundup January 10, 2020

Former Senate President Mike Miller calls for addressing Baltimore’s crime problem in lengthy floor speech; Comptroller Peter Franchot confirms run for governor; Iran resolution passes house with all but one Maryland vote; online ad tax proposed; hospital op-ed praises state’s system; Hogan suggests retirement tax break for emergency responders; Morgan State University announces consideration of partnership for medical school; Baltimore youth fund under scrutiny; lawmakers from around the state discuss 2020 session and start meeting as delegations; judge rules against tenants in presidential son-in-law’s case; Brown picks a presidential candidate; Mia Mason will challenge Rep. Andy Harris; MVA working on REAL ID; tourism official calls for more CEOs to visit Garrett

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Larry Hogan’s improbable path

What got Larry Hogan to the place where he raises his right hand for the oath as governor is what one Hogan insider concedes was a perfect storm. The right political environment, a message to match it hatched by the candidate himself, a campaigner disciplined enough to communicate it relentlessly, and a campaign that made few mistakes and profited from the lackluster campaigns and mistakes of his competitors.

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The keys to the State House: Why Hogan won and Brown lost

Professor Allan Lichtman has a wonderful predictive tool for presidential elections called the 13 Keys to the White House that he produced in various editions since he developed it decades ago. He has successfully predicted the winner of five presidential elections months and even years in advance, based on a century and a half of election results.

Lichtman has developed no such tools for gubernatorial races, but some of the “keys” provide guidance for another way to look at why Larry Hogan Jr. won this year.

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