Here is pollster Patrick Gonzales’s synopsis of the poll his firm took at the end of August. Tomorrow he will have the results of polling on the U.S. Senate race. Here are the full results of today’s Gonzales poll.
Democrat Kamala Harris has seen a boost in her approval numbers here in Maryland since our poll in February.
Statewide, 55% approve of the job Vice- President Harris is doing, compared to 37% who disapprove. Her approval ratio today is 19-points ahead of the 46%-47% job rating she had eight months ago.
Former President Donald Trump has a 57% disapproval rating for the job he did in the White House, while 42% approve.
Being underwater with voters is something no politician wants, but this is blue Maryland, after all, and Trump’s approval rating today is 8-points better than the 38%-61% number he had in the winter.
Harris vs. Trump
Statewide, if the election for president were held today, 56% would vote for Vice- President Harris, 35% would vote for former president Trump, and 9% are undecided.
The party split is as expected: 84% of Democrats support the Kamala Harris/Tim Walz ticket, while 80% of Republicans support the Donald Trump/JD Vance ticket.
Among independents, the Harris/Walz ticket is up by only 2 points, 38% to 36%. This, coupled with the fact that the Democrat’s 21-point margin in Maryland today is identical to the 21-point margin Joe Biden had over Trump in February are cautionary signs.
This poll was conducted by Gonzales Research & Media Services, Inc. from August 24th through August 30th, 2024. A total of 820 registered voters in Maryland, who indicated they are likely to vote in the 2024 general election, were queried by live telephone interviews, utilizing both landline and cell phone numbers. A cross-section of interviews was conducted throughout the state, reflecting general election voting patterns.
The margin of error, per accepted statistical standards, is a range of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. If the entire population was surveyed, there is a 95% probability that the true numbers would fall within this range
Gov. Moore
Governor Wes Moore comes out of the convention in Chicago with a head of steam. Statewide, 64% approve of the job Moore is doing as governor, while 24% disapprove, with 12% not yet providing an opinion.
By party, 82% of Democrats, 52% of unaffiliated voters, and 35% of Republicans say they approve of the job Wes Moore is doing as governor. Admittedly, it’s mostly soft approval (7% “strongly” approve and 28% “somewhat” approve), but 35% percent approval for Moore among Republicans is a number any Democratic officeholder would gladly take. Moore’s 40-point positive job rating (64%-24%) is a 33-percent bump since this past winter.
No Democratic governor in Maryland has had approval in the mid- 60s since William Donald Schafer’s first term in office nearly 40 years ago.
Transportation, juvenile laws
An overwhelming 95% of Marylanders think that it is important for the State to invest in improving its transportation infrastructure…61% “very” important and 34% “somewhat” important.
The debate on how parents and society can best raise and instill in its youth traits and strength necessary to become productive, contented adults is as old as time itself.
Accordingly, we asked Maryland voters if, to better help our children under 18 who commit crimes, they prefer laws that are strict, holding these juveniles responsible and accountable for their behavior…or laws that are lenient, recognizing that society is responsible for much of juvenile offender’s unhealthy behavior. Overall in Maryland, 58% favor laws that are strict, which hold juveniles responsible and accountable for their behavior, while only 34% desire laws that are lenient. A majority of nearly every demographic group backs strict laws to inspire a sense of personal responsibility and to best assist our juvenile offenders ultimately realize at least a chance at a successful, happy life.
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